Lic. Alberto González Káram
• Valor económico del comercio exterior por 1 billón 926 mil 496.85 millones de dólares equivalente a 2 mil 349.38 millones de dólares diarios en presente administración federal
• Resultando el mayor saldo superavitario acumulado en la historia del comercio exterior por 82 mil 710.3 millones de dólares en la balanza comercial no petrolera en México
La rentabilidad del comercio exterior se demuestra y comprueba plenamente al obtener un valor económico que ascendió a 1 billón 926 mil 496.85 millones de dólares equivalente a 2 mil 349.38 millones de dólares diarios en la presente administración pública federal, resultando el mayor saldo superavitario acumulado en la historia por 82 mil 710.3 millones de dólares en la balanza comercial no petrolera, producto del efecto multiplicador de cada 6.68 pesos del Impuesto General de Importaciones (IGI) que generaron 93.32 pesos de impuestos y derechos tributarios federales, destacando la venta al mercado externo de la industria automotriz altamente rentable al exportar el 84.2 por ciento de camiones de carga pesada y autobuses de la producción nacional, generar mayores empleos estables y mejor remunerados, captar mayores divisas y contribuir con el mayor saldo superavitario alcanzado en la historia del comercio exterior en México.
El cuantioso valor económico del comercio exterior es resultante de la aplicación del Programa de la Zona Libre de la Frontera Norte, al reducir del 16 al 8 por ciento el Impuesto al Valor Agregado (IVA) y del 35 al 20 por ciento el Impuesto Sobre la Renta (ISR), incremento de los salarios, la homologación de precios y tarifas de gasolinas, diésel y tarifas eléctricas, siendo ampliada por 4 años más para el período comprendido del pasado 1º. de enero del 2021 hasta el 31 de diciembre del 2024.
Los resultados del comercio exterior son contrarios al cuantioso déficit comercial no petrolero en la administración de Peña-Nieto, cuyas cifras fueron ocultadas a todos los mexicanos, mismas que ascendieron a un récord histórico de la mayor pérdida económica por -247 mil 318.08 millones de dólares en el período 2012-2018.
El incremento de las exportaciones mexicanas se ha favorecido con la recomposición de las importaciones totales acumuladas que concentraron en promedio 78.22 por ciento en bienes intermedios que se destinan a incrementar la producción, ensamble y maquila para satisfacer y ampliar el mercado de las exportaciones mundiales, el 12.65 por ciento de las importaciones de bienes de consumo en el mercado interno y 9.13 por ciento de bienes de capital.
Participación en Valor Económico de Importaciones de Bienes de Consumo, Intermedios y Capital
1º. de Diciembre del 2018 al 28 de Febrero del 2021
(Porcentaje de Participación)
Mes Año Consumo Intermedios Capital
Diciembre 2018 13.45 76.62 9.93
Enero 2019 12.93 76.63 10.43
Febrero 2019 12.34 78.66 8.99
Marzo 2019 12.76 78.20 9.04
Abril 2019 13.72 77.39 8.89
Mayo 2019 12.87 78.11 9.02
Junio 2019 13.35 78.15 8.50
Julio 2019 13.05 78.47 8.48
Agosto 2019 13.28 77.64 9.08
Septiembre 2019 13.35 77.80 8.85
Octubre 2019 14.90 75.62 9.49
Noviembre 2019 14.54 75.96 9.51
Diciembre 2019 14.04 76.07 9.90
Enero 2020 14.27 76.42 9.31
Febrero 2020 12.89 78.79 8.32
Marzo 2020 12.11 79.96 7.93
Abril 2020 10.56 80.07 9.37
Mayo 2020 10.47 78.74 10.52
Junio 2020 9.68 80.73 9.58
Julio 2020 11.80 79.10 9.10
Agosto 2020 11.70 79.10 9.20
Septiembre 2020 11.60 79.30 9.10
Octubre 2020 11.34 79.67 8.99
Noviembre 2020 12.66 78.73 8.61
Diciembre 2020 12.63 78.29 9.08
Enero 2021 12.06 79.12 8.81
Febrero 2021 11.57 79.65 8.77
Promedio 12.65 78.22 9.13
Fuente de Información: “Participación en Valor Económico de Importaciones de Bienes de Consumo, Intermedios y Capital”, 1º. de Diciembre del 2018 al 28 de Febrero del 2021, Lic. Alberto González Káram, Presidente de la Comisión Binacional de Asuntos Fronterizos del Colegio Nacional de Economistas, A.C. (CNE) y Vicepresidente del Colegio de Economistas del Noreste de México, A.C. (CENEMAC), Investigación Especial, Abril del 2021.
El valor económico de 959 mil 171.3 millones de dólares de las exportaciones mexicanas se desglosa en la Industria Manufacturera, Maquiladora y de Servicios de Exportación por 587 mil 431.4 millones de dólares y la industria automotriz por 303 mil 436.1 millones de dólares.
La reintegración de las cadenas de suministros de las actividades agropecuarias con valor económico de las exportaciones por 41 mil 473.5 millones de dólares, mientras que la industria petrolera y petroquímica de exportación y las empresas manufactureras y extractivas no petroleras participan con valor económico de las exportaciones por 26 mil 830.2 millones de dólares.
Valor Económico de las Exportaciones Mexicanas
1º. de Diciembre del 2018 al 28 de Febrero del 2021
(millones de dólares)
Lugar Actividades Económicas Valor Económico
1º. Manufactura, Maquiladora y Servicios 587,431.4
2º. Automotriz 303,436.1
3º. Agropecuarias 41,473.5
4º. Petrolera, petroquímica y extractivas 26,830.2
T o t a l 959,171.3
Fuente de Información: “Valor Económico de las Exportaciones Mexicanas”, 1º. de Diciembre del 2018 al 28 de Febrero del 2021, Lic. Alberto González Káram, Investigación Especial, Abril del 2021.
Los Sectores Industriales Estratégicos que requieren mayores inversiones, son principalmente los siguientes: Fabricación de productos farmacéuticos y vacunas; Fabricación de partes para vehículos automotores; Fabricación de equipo de comunicación; Fabricación de equipo no electrónico y material desechable de uso médico, dental y para laboratorio, así como artículos oftálmicos; Fabricación de instrumentos de medición, control, navegación, y equipo médico electrónico; Fabricación de automóviles y camiones; Fabricación de equipo de audio y de video; Fabricación de otros equipos y accesorios eléctricos; Fabricación de accesorios de iluminación; Fabricación de equipo de generación y distribución de energía eléctrica; Fabricación de aparatos eléctricos de uso doméstico; y Fabricación y reproducción de medios magnéticos y ópticos, mismos que representan las áreas de oportunidad para nuevas inversiones nacionales y extranjeras de los establecimientos de la Industria Manufacturera, Maquiladora y de Servicios de Exportación.
En los Estados Unidos se lleva a cabo una inversión sin precedente en la historia del vecino país de 2 billones de dólares, de los cuales 300 mil millones de dólares son para reabastecer vacunas en futuras pandemias, 174 mil millones de dólares se destinarán a la fabricación y compra de vehículos eléctricos mediante la concesión de créditos fiscales y otros incentivos a las empresas que fabrican baterías de vehículos eléctricos y 46 mil millones de dólares en programas de adquisiciones federales para que las agencias gubernamentales compren flotas de vehículos eléctricos.
Es importante destacar que nuestro país ocupa el Primer Lugar Mundial en la producción de Plata, el Tercer Lugar Mundial en la captación de remesas familiares y Cuarto Lugar Mundial de la industria automotriz y contribuyó para reposicionar a nuestro país en el Décimo Lugar Mundial con relación al valor económicos actualizados del total de exportaciones por parte de la Organización Mundial de Comercio (OMC), con la prospectiva de ubicar a México por encima de Reino Unido, Italia y Francia al cierre del ejercicio fiscal 2021.
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